MIN 100-93 NYL, July 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIN beat NYL 100-93, and MIN's shots were worth 91.1 points to NYL's 89.3.

MIN 100-93 NYL, July 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	73	87	74.9	13/19	16.2	100	91.1
NYL	72	80	74.1	13/18	15.2	93	89.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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