DAL 85-88 ATL, July 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat DAL 88-85, and ATL's shots were worth 75.5 points to DAL's 73.5.

DAL 85-88 ATL, July 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	68	79	67.0	6/8	6.6	85	73.5
ATL	63	77	65.4	11/13	10.2	88	75.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.