IND 107-101 PHX, July 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. IND beat PHX 107-101, and IND's shots were worth 98.6 points to PHX's 95.9.

IND 107-101 PHX, July 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	62	75	68.7	32/38	29.9	107	98.6
PHX	73	79	75.0	22/26	20.9	101	95.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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