LAS 74-89 LVA, July 29, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LVA beat LAS 89-74, but LAS's shots were worth 86.2 points to LVA's 81.4.

LAS 74-89 LVA, July 29, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAS	69	56	70.6	18/19	15.6	74	86.2
LVA	78	81	75.2	8/8	6.2	89	81.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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