CON 85-101 SEA, July 28, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. SEA beat CON 101-85, but CON's shots were worth 82.8 points to SEA's 73.9.

CON 85-101 SEA, July 28, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CON676262.123/2620.78582.8
SEA699366.18/107.810173.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.