MIN 86-90 ATL, July 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat MIN 90-86, and ATL's shots were worth 73.6 points to MIN's 67.4.

MIN 86-90 ATL, July 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	66	81	61.3	5/8	6.1	86	67.4
ATL	65	76	60.4	14/17	13.1	90	73.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.