DAL 80-106 LVA, July 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LVA beat DAL 106-80, but DAL's shots were worth 92.4 points to LVA's 91.6.

DAL 80-106 LVA, July 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
DAL796475.716/2116.78092.4
LVA748772.519/2419.110691.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.