CHI 78-93 IND, July 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. IND beat CHI 93-78, and IND's shots were worth 88.9 points to CHI's 80.5.

CHI 78-93 IND, July 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHI	65	66	69.7	12/14	10.8	78	80.5
IND	70	77	76.4	16/16	12.5	93	88.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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