PHX 79-90 ATL, July 23, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat PHX 90-79, and ATL's shots were worth 86.1 points to PHX's 84.3.

PHX 79-90 ATL, July 23, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	67	63	68.1	16/21	16.2	79	84.3
ATL	68	78	74.4	12/15	11.7	90	86.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.