SEA 63-87 DAL, July 22, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DAL beat SEA 87-63, but SEA's shots were worth 85.3 points to DAL's 84.3.

SEA 63-87 DAL, July 22, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SEA	75	50	74.7	13/14	10.5	63	85.3
DAL	71	74	70.3	13/17	14.0	87	84.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.