DAL 86-90 LVA, July 16, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LVA beat DAL 90-86, but DAL's shots were worth 90.8 points to LVA's 88.9.

DAL 86-90 LVA, July 16, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
DAL857881.78/119.08690.8
LVA717368.317/2620.69088.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.