NYL 98-77 IND, July 16, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. NYL beat IND 98-77, but IND's shots were worth 88.9 points to NYL's 70.1.

NYL 98-77 IND, July 16, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NYL	64	88	61.0	10/11	9.1	98	70.1
IND	76	64	77.3	13/15	11.6	77	88.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.