CON 77-85 IND, July 15, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. IND beat CON 85-77, but CON's shots were worth 102.8 points to IND's 86.1.

CON 77-85 IND, July 15, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CON	83	65	89.5	12/16	13.2	77	102.8
IND	59	63	63.6	22/29	22.5	85	86.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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