GSV 77-78 PHX, July 14, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat GSV 78-77, but GSV's shots were worth 80.1 points to PHX's 69.7.

GSV 77-78 PHX, July 14, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GSV	74	64	68.0	13/15	12.1	77	80.1
PHX	57	66	55.0	12/19	14.8	78	69.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.