CHI 78-91 MIN, July 14, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIN beat CHI 91-78, and MIN's shots were worth 88.8 points to CHI's 75.9.

CHI 78-91 MIN, July 14, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CHI606563.613/1612.37875.9
MIN717875.513/1613.39188.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.