NYL 79-72 ATL, July 13, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. NYL beat ATL 79-72, and NYL's shots were worth 86.2 points to ATL's 86.1.

NYL 79-72 ATL, July 13, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NYL	78	69	77.1	10/11	9.1	79	86.2
ATL	64	55	64.1	17/28	22.0	72	86.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.