LVA 104-102 GSV, July 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. LVA beat GSV 104-102, and LVA's shots were worth 86.4 points to GSV's 83.1.

LVA 104-102 GSV, July 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LVA	62	74	57.5	30/35	28.9	104	86.4
GSV	68	82	64.1	20/24	19.0	102	83.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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