SEA 79-65 CON, July 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SEA beat CON 79-65, and SEA's shots were worth 80.6 points to CON's 73.1.

SEA 79-65 CON, July 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
SEA646465.415/1915.27980.6
CON584555.420/2217.76573.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.