IND 99-82 ATL, July 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. IND beat ATL 99-82, and IND's shots were worth 91.1 points to ATL's 80.4.

IND 99-82 ATL, July 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	76	81	75.4	18/20	15.7	99	91.1
ATL	67	71	69.5	11/14	11.0	82	80.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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