WAS 70-68 LVA, July 10, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. WAS beat LVA 70-68, but LVA's shots were worth 75.0 points to WAS's 69.9.

WAS 70-68 LVA, July 10, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
WAS	62	56	56.4	14/17	13.5	70	69.9
LVA	71	57	64.3	11/14	10.6	68	75.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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