CHI 87-76 DAL, July 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. CHI beat DAL 87-76, but DAL's shots were worth 93.1 points to CHI's 77.9.

CHI 87-76 DAL, July 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHI	57	68	60.2	19/23	17.7	87	77.9
DAL	75	61	75.9	15/21	17.2	76	93.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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