PHX 79-71 MIN, July 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PHX beat MIN 79-71, and PHX's shots were worth 83.4 points to MIN's 71.6.

PHX 79-71 MIN, July 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	73	69	75.4	10/10	8.0	79	83.4
MIN	70	66	67.4	5/5	4.2	71	71.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.