CON 93-83 SEA, July 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. CON beat SEA 93-83, but SEA's shots were worth 86.4 points to CON's 84.5.

CON 93-83 SEA, July 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CON657266.921/2217.69384.5
SEA696871.615/1914.88386.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.