PHX 102-72 DAL, July 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PHX beat DAL 102-72, and PHX's shots were worth 85.3 points to DAL's 76.3.

PHX 102-72 DAL, July 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	76	86	66.2	16/25	19.1	102	85.3
DAL	75	62	66.7	10/12	9.6	72	76.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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