ATL 90-81 GSV, July 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat GSV 90-81, and ATL's shots were worth 89.9 points to GSV's 73.7.

ATL 90-81 GSV, July 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	66	69	71.1	21/24	18.9	90	89.9
GSV	63	72	66.8	9/9	7.0	81	73.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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