NYL 70-79 SEA, July 6, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. SEA beat NYL 79-70, but NYL's shots were worth 81.4 points to SEA's 74.8.

NYL 70-79 SEA, July 6, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NYL	68	57	68.5	13/16	13.0	70	81.4
SEA	71	69	64.4	10/14	10.4	79	74.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.