MIN 82-71 GSV, July 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIN beat GSV 82-71, and MIN's shots were worth 80.6 points to GSV's 77.3.

MIN 82-71 GSV, July 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	64	69	68.7	13/15	11.9	82	80.6
GSV	65	65	70.9	6/8	6.5	71	77.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.