IND 87-89 LAS, July 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LAS beat IND 89-87, but IND's shots were worth 84.1 points to LAS's 83.8.

IND 87-89 LAS, July 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	70	75	69.5	12/19	14.5	87	84.1
LAS	65	74	65.8	15/23	18.0	89	83.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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