DAL 98-89 PHX, July 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DAL beat PHX 98-89, but PHX's shots were worth 92.7 points to DAL's 87.8.

DAL 98-89 PHX, July 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	67	72	62.6	26/31	25.2	98	87.8
PHX	67	64	67.5	25/31	25.2	89	92.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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