ATL 79-80 SEA, July 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. SEA beat ATL 80-79, but ATL's shots were worth 76.0 points to SEA's 67.7.

ATL 79-80 SEA, July 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	66	62	59.6	17/21	16.4	79	76.0
SEA	69	74	61.2	6/8	6.5	80	67.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.