IND 81-54 LVA, July 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. IND beat LVA 81-54, and IND's shots were worth 77.7 points to LVA's 76.0.

IND 81-54 LVA, July 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	63	67	64.6	14/17	13.1	81	77.7
LVA	61	35	58.0	19/22	18.0	54	76.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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