PHX 81-84 LVA, June 29, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LVA beat PHX 84-81, but PHX's shots were worth 79.6 points to LVA's 77.4.

PHX 81-84 LVA, June 29, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	71	64	63.4	17/21	16.3	81	79.6
LVA	60	61	55.6	23/26	21.8	84	77.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.