ATL 90-81 NYL, June 29, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat NYL 90-81, and ATL's shots were worth 91.4 points to NYL's 81.0.

ATL 90-81 NYL, June 29, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	70	78	74.3	12/22	17.1	90	91.4
NYL	68	69	68.7	12/15	12.3	81	81.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.