DAL 79-71 WAS, June 28, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DAL beat WAS 79-71, but WAS's shots were worth 80.7 points to DAL's 74.3.

DAL 79-71 WAS, June 28, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	62	62	59.9	17/18	14.5	79	74.3
WAS	64	49	61.7	22/25	19.0	71	80.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.