DAL 86-94 IND, June 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. IND beat DAL 94-86, but DAL's shots were worth 87.3 points to IND's 78.0.

DAL 86-94 IND, June 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
DAL686467.022/2520.38687.3
IND597661.018/2217.09478.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.