IND 75-85 LAS, June 26, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LAS beat IND 85-75, but IND's shots were worth 83.5 points to LAS's 79.8.

IND 75-85 LAS, June 26, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
IND635361.922/2821.67583.5
LAS586458.221/2821.68579.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.