DAL 68-55 ATL, June 24, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DAL beat ATL 68-55, but ATL's shots were worth 84.7 points to DAL's 73.5.

DAL 68-55 ATL, June 24, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	66	52	58.7	16/18	14.8	68	73.5
ATL	64	37	64.7	18/25	20.0	55	84.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.