MIN 82-66 LAS, June 21, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat LAS 82-66, but LAS's shots were worth 82.7 points to MIN's 68.1.

MIN 82-66 LAS, June 21, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	56	71	55.8	11/16	12.3	82	68.1
LAS	65	55	70.5	11/16	12.3	66	82.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.