CON 75-83 PHX, June 18, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat CON 83-75, but CON's shots were worth 87.3 points to PHX's 85.5.

CON 75-83 PHX, June 18, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CON	68	58	69.5	17/23	17.7	75	87.3
PHX	64	60	64.1	23/27	21.5	83	85.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.