NYL 86-81 ATL, June 17, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. NYL beat ATL 86-81, and NYL's shots were worth 84.8 points to ATL's 72.0.

NYL 86-81 ATL, June 17, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NYL	71	69	67.8	17/20	17.0	86	84.8
ATL	67	70	63.1	11/11	8.9	81	72.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.