WAS 56-89 ATL, June 15, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat WAS 89-56, and ATL's shots were worth 83.6 points to WAS's 71.8.

WAS 56-89 ATL, June 15, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
WAS613954.017/2317.85671.8
ATL708073.49/1310.28983.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.