MIN 101-78 LAS, June 14, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat LAS 101-78, but LAS's shots were worth 83.3 points to MIN's 82.4.

MIN 101-78 LAS, June 14, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	72	94	74.4	7/10	8.0	101	82.4
LAS	58	56	61.0	22/28	22.3	78	83.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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