PHX 93-80 DAL, June 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat DAL 93-80, but DAL's shots were worth 83.9 points to PHX's 81.3.

PHX 93-80 DAL, June 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PHX708572.68/118.79381.3
DAL676365.117/2318.88083.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.