DAL 65-81 MIN, June 8, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat DAL 81-65, but DAL's shots were worth 80.3 points to MIN's 77.5.

DAL 65-81 MIN, June 8, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	65	46	61.6	19/23	18.7	65	80.3
MIN	67	71	66.6	10/14	10.9	81	77.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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