PHX 77-89 SEA, June 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SEA beat PHX 89-77, and SEA's shots were worth 79.0 points to PHX's 76.2.

PHX 77-89 SEA, June 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	66	66	65.7	11/13	10.5	77	76.2
SEA	66	76	65.6	13/17	13.4	89	79.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.