CHI 52-79 IND, June 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. IND beat CHI 79-52, and IND's shots were worth 79.8 points to CHI's 70.6.

CHI 52-79 IND, June 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CHI563956.713/1913.95270.6
IND596565.714/1814.17979.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.