DAL 79-93 LAS, June 6, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LAS beat DAL 93-79, but DAL's shots were worth 81.0 points to LAS's 79.6.

DAL 79-93 LAS, June 6, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	73	68	72.1	11/11	8.8	79	81.0
LAS	63	79	65.6	14/19	14.0	93	79.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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