CON 84-76 ATL, June 6, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. CON beat ATL 84-76, but ATL's shots were worth 88.9 points to CON's 82.9.

CON 84-76 ATL, June 6, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CON	66	69	67.6	15/19	15.3	84	82.9
ATL	68	64	75.3	12/17	13.6	76	88.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.