PHX 86-77 GSV, June 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat GSV 86-77, but GSV's shots were worth 81.1 points to PHX's 80.6.

PHX 86-77 GSV, June 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	65	71	64.3	15/20	16.3	86	80.6
GSV	60	59	60.5	18/25	20.6	77	81.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.