SEA 83-77 DAL, June 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. SEA beat DAL 83-77, but DAL's shots were worth 95.0 points to SEA's 83.8.

SEA 83-77 DAL, June 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SEA	62	68	67.1	15/21	16.7	83	83.8
DAL	86	65	81.9	12/18	13.2	77	95.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.